Hwaseong 2-0 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.38/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.02
+17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.06.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
11.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
17.06.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
01.10.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 1-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
29.05.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-2 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
11.09.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong beat Gyeongju HNP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Gyeongju HNP?

Hwaseong 2-0 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 39%, draw 30%, Gyeongju HNP 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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