SV Spakenburg 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
32%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.3pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.8pp
32%
Away Win
16%
+16.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
2.94/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.06
+56% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.01.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 3-1 HT 1-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
24.02.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-1 HT 1-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg got the better of Excelsior Maassluis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Excelsior Maassluis led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SV Spakenburg and 2.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

SV Spakenburg 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 53%, draw 15%, Excelsior Maassluis 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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