Omiya Ardija 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Sep 2025

Omiya Ardija
1-2 HT 1-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.05/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.29
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
28.5 Crosses 19.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
0W-4D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.06.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-3 HT 1-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
26.08.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-4 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
17.06.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 HT 1-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
23.10.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-3 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
14.05.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
11.07.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2

Omiya Ardija 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
298 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
40 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki squeezed past Omiya Ardija 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 56% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 44%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Omiya Ardija and 2.17 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Omiya Ardija 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 35%, draw 23%, V-Varen Nagasaki 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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