Vegalta Sendai 1-1 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
0.99/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.25
-25% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 18.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
408 Passes 206
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-2 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
10.08.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
10.03.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.09.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
03.09.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1-1
AWAY Mito HollyHock
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
406 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai and Mito HollyHock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vegalta Sendai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 60% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 40%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Mito HollyHock?

Vegalta Sendai 1-1 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J2 League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 41%, draw 26%, Mito HollyHock 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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