Mito HollyHock 0-1 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.6
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.6 — our 25% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.42
+17% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
431 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
213 Passes 426
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.09.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
03.09.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
27.02.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
0-1
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai edged past Mito HollyHock 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vegalta Sendai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 51% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mito HollyHock had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.00 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Vegalta Sendai?

Mito HollyHock 0-1 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 37%, draw 27%, Vegalta Sendai 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mito HollyHock), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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