Iwaki 2-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.95
-51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ehime FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
23.10.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 2-1 HT 1-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP3
27.03.2022 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
2-1
AWAY Ehime FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki edged past Ehime FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Iwaki had 61% of the ball to Ehime FC's 39%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Iwaki had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Iwaki and 0.67 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Ehime FC?

Iwaki 2-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 49%, draw 26%, Ehime FC 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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