Fagiano Okayama 0-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.42/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.12
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0W-2D-4L
AWAY JEF United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 326
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
01.10.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-5 HT 0-3 JEF United JEF United JAP2
25.03.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
30.07.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
08.05.2022 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
05.12.2021 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-3 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0-0
AWAY JEF United
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama and JEF United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 51% of the ball to JEF United's 49%, shots finished 3-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 2.17 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United?

Fagiano Okayama 0-0 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 35%, draw 29%, JEF United 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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