Shimizu S-Pulse 4-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.18/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
+8% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1W-1D-1L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-3 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
25.06.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
29.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-3 HT 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
4-0
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse swept aside ThespaKusatsu Gunma 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 68% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 32%, shots finished 25-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.33 for ThespaKusatsu Gunma.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Shimizu S-Pulse 4-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J2 League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 56%, draw 22%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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