Renofa Yamaguchi 4-3 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
2.45/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.27
+63% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
500 Passes 207
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
24.06.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
08.04.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
23.07.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-1 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
30.04.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
05.09.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 3-2 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
4-3
AWAY Tochigi SC
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi squeezed past Tochigi SC 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Renofa Yamaguchi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 51% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 49%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tochigi SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.17 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC?

Renofa Yamaguchi 4-3 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 47%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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