Mito HollyHock 2-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.14/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.48
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
224 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 19.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
213 Passes 426
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
10.03.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
16.09.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
03.09.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-2 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
27.02.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-3 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
198 Passes 389
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Vegalta Sendai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vegalta Sendai at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 41% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 59%, shots finished 7-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.00 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Vegalta Sendai?

Mito HollyHock 2-2 Vegalta Sendai in the Japan - J2 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 28%, draw 29%, Vegalta Sendai 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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