JEF United 5-1 Ehime FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ehime FC EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
2.59/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.87
+29% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses 12.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ehime FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
258 Passes 175
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.09.2024 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
18.05.2024 JEF United JEF United 7-1 HT 5-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
18.09.2021 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
07.03.2021 Ehime FC Ehime FC 1-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
04.11.2020 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-1 Ehime FC Ehime FC JAP2
12.09.2020 Ehime FC Ehime FC 0-2 HT 0-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
5-1
AWAY Ehime FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
356 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Ehime FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United cruised past Ehime FC 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, JEF United had 53% of the ball to Ehime FC's 47%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for JEF United and 0.67 for Ehime FC.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Ehime FC?

JEF United 5-1 Ehime FC in the Japan - J2 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Ehime FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split JEF United 55%, draw 21%, Ehime FC 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Over 2.5
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