Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Oita Trinita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.27/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses 20.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Oita Trinita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
26.05.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
06.08.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 2-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
12.04.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-1 HT 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
06.07.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
19.03.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
1-1
AWAY Oita Trinita
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
283 Passes 255
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi and Oita Trinita couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 53% of the ball to Oita Trinita's 47%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.00 for Oita Trinita.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Oita Trinita in the Japan - J2 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 42%, draw 29%, Oita Trinita 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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