JFK Ventspils 1-2 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
51%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 50%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.75/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+31% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Riga Mariners
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2025 Riga Mariners 1-2 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners squeezed past JFK Ventspils 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners?

JFK Ventspils 1-2 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 24%, draw 26%, Riga Mariners 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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