Sogndal 1-5 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
52%
Away Win
57%
-5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
2.01/3.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.78
+62% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lilleström
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
307 Passes 218
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Lilleström Lilleström 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
12.03.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-2 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
04.11.2020 Sogndal Sogndal 0-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
04.08.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 0-2 HT 0-2 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
15.10.2017 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
30.04.2017 Sogndal Sogndal 0-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström ran out comfortable winners over Sogndal 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sogndal and 0.83 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Lilleström?

Sogndal 1-5 Lilleström in the Norway - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 21%, draw 27%, Lilleström 52%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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