Raufoss 0-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 55%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.47
-4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aalesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.05.2025 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
03.08.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-2 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
27.04.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-4 HT 1-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
28.08.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 4-2 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
19.05.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 4-2 HT 2-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.10.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund edged past Raufoss 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Raufoss and 2.50 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Aalesund?

Raufoss 0-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 25%, draw 25%, Aalesund 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ BTTS Yes
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