Egersunds 1-1 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.20/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.66
-25% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Stabaek
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2025 Stabaek Stabaek 1-3 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
25.09.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 2-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
27.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 4-5 HT 3-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds and Stabaek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Egersunds had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Egersunds and 2.00 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Stabaek?

Egersunds 1-1 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 36%, draw 29%, Stabaek 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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