Stabaek 1-3 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 18 Jun 2025

📅18/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.91
2-3 Goals
44%
2.06
4-5 Goals
24%
2.47
6+ Goals
10%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.71/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.61
-11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Egersunds
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.09.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 2-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
27.05.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 4-5 HT 3-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
1-3
AWAY Egersunds
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds saw off Stabaek 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Stabaek had 54% of the ball to Egersunds's 46%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Egersunds led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stabaek and 3.50 for Egersunds.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Egersunds?

Stabaek 1-3 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 18/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 51%, draw 26%, Egersunds 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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