Hönefoss BK 1-1 Grorud IL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.04
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.38
6+ Goals
14%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +23%
2.00/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.23
+9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Grorud IL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2025 Grorud IL Grorud IL 5-1 HT 2-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR3
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Grorud IL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK and Grorud IL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hönefoss BK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Grorud IL?

Hönefoss BK 1-1 Grorud IL in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Grorud IL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 45%, draw 21%, Grorud IL 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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