Notodden 1-1 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2025

Notodden
1-1 HT 1-0
Sotra SK
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Notodden vs Sotra SK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 34% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Sotra SK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 60%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.80/2.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.58
-32% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +102%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Notodden vs Sotra SK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sotra SK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Sotra SK Sotra SK 1-3 HT 1-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
21.09.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
06.04.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
08.10.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-2 HT 2-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
11.09.2021 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
18.08.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden and Sotra SK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sotra SK at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notodden had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Notodden and 0.83 for Sotra SK.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Sotra SK?

Notodden 1-1 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Notodden 22%, draw 24%, Sotra SK 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sotra SK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Under 2.5
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