Kjelsas 3-1 Follo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.08
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
36%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.97
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.5pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Follo EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.84/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.34
-20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Follo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
26.07.2025 Follo Follo 1-3 HT 0-1 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
07.09.2024 Follo Follo 0-0 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
04.05.2024 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-0 HT 1-0 Follo Follo NOR3
22.05.2023 Follo Follo 2-2 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOK
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas beat Follo 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kjelsas as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kjelsas had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Kjelsas and 0.75 for Follo.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Follo?

Kjelsas 3-1 Follo in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Follo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 60%, draw 18%, Follo 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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