Kjelsas 2-0 Follo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.81
6+ Goals
8%
7.64
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81 — our 27% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Follo EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.73/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/3.01
-21% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Follo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.05.2023 Follo Follo 2-2 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOK
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas got the better of Follo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kjelsas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Follo?

Kjelsas 2-0 Follo in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Follo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 52%, draw 28%, Follo 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ BTTS No
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