04/05/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Kjelsas vs Follo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81
— our 27% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
28%
Draw
22%
20%
Away Win
15%
50%
Under 2.5
40%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
54%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kjelsas v Follo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kjelsas
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Follo
EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-27% /
-27%
1.73/0.91
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/3.01
-21%
/
+32%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
-30%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
391 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
270 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.5
Yellow Cards
–
Kjelsas vs Follo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kjelsas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Follo
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
22.05.2023
Follo
2-2
HT 0-0
Kjelsas
NOK
2-2
HT 0-0
Kjelsas
NOK
POST-MATCH
Kjelsas vs Follo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kjelsas got the better of Follo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kjelsas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Follo?
Kjelsas 2-0 Follo in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Follo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 52%, draw 28%, Follo 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Kjelsas)
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
4 May 2024