Stjordals-Blink 2-3 Tromsdalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjordals-Blink EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
3.02/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.13
+45% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjordals-Blink
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tromsdalen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Stjordals-Blink Stjordals-Blink 1-1 HT 0-1 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
29.05.2023 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 3-1 HT 1-1 Stjordals-Blink Stjordals-Blink NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjordals-Blink
2-3
AWAY Tromsdalen
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stjordals-Blink vs Tromsdalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen squeezed past Stjordals-Blink 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stjordals-Blink at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stjordals-Blink had 53% of the ball to Tromsdalen's 47%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tromsdalen led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stjordals-Blink and 2.00 for Tromsdalen.

What was the final score of Stjordals-Blink vs Tromsdalen?

Stjordals-Blink 2-3 Tromsdalen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjordals-Blink vs Tromsdalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjordals-Blink win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stjordals-Blink 48%, draw 26%, Tromsdalen 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjordals-Blink) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjordals-Blink) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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