Orn Horten 3-2 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.91/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.72
+30% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +82%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orn Horten
3-2
AWAY Hodd
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orn Horten nicked a narrow win over Hodd 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hodd at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orn Horten had 50% of the ball to Hodd's 50%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Hodd?

Orn Horten 3-2 Hodd in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 28%, draw 27%, Hodd 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Under 2.5
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