Orn Horten 5-1 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.1pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.66/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.81
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orn Horten
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2025 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 3-1 HT 1-1 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR4
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orn Horten ran out comfortable winners over Sarpsborg 08 II 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orn Horten as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Orn Horten 5-1 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orn Horten win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 57%, draw 16%, Sarpsborg 08 II 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orn Horten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orn Horten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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