Alianza Atletico 0-1 Juan Pablo II College — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.3pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Juan Pablo II College EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.61/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.82
-15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +62%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
22.1 Crosses 12.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Juan Pablo II College
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.32
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
363 Passes 127
79% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Juan Pablo II College 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-1
AWAY Juan Pablo II College
1.67 xG 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 127
80% Pass Accuracy 58%
32 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juan Pablo II College nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Alianza Atletico carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 66% of the ball to Juan Pablo II College's 34%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.67 to 0.83 — on chances, Alianza Atletico could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?

Alianza Atletico 0-1 Juan Pablo II College in the Peru - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Juan Pablo II College?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 61%, draw 24%, Juan Pablo II College 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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