Sport Boys 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.5pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.73/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.29
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.9 Crosses 15.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Boys
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
214 Passes 315
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-4 HT 0-2 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
24.10.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
11.05.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
25.09.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 2-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
07.06.2018 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Boys
0-1
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.53 xG 0.31
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
387 Passes 155
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 8
45 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comerciantes Unidos nicked a narrow win over Sport Boys 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Boys at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sport Boys had 67% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 33%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sport Boys.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sport Boys had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sport Boys and 1.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Sport Boys 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sport Boys 50%, draw 31%, Comerciantes Unidos 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sport Boys), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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