Comerciantes Unidos 0-4 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.16/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.95
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.4 Crosses 19.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.53 xG 0.94
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
318 Passes 236
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
11.05.2024 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
25.09.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 3-2 HT 2-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
07.06.2018 Sport Boys Sport Boys 2-1 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0-4
AWAY Sport Boys
0.83 xG 3.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
299 Passes 127
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys cruised past Comerciantes Unidos 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Comerciantes Unidos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 66% of the ball to Sport Boys's 34%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.83 to 3.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.25 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?

Comerciantes Unidos 0-4 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 44%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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