Cienciano vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Cienciano
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Cienciano
PER
Cienciano 0-1 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Universidad edged past Cienciano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cienciano at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cienciano had 56% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 44%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.93 to 0.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cienciano.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cienciano and 0.67 for Alianza Universidad.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Alianza Universidad?
Cienciano 0-1 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Alianza Universidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 56%, draw 23%, Alianza Universidad 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5 went the other way.