Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Cristal v Cusco FC — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
3-2
HT 0-2
Cusco FC
PER
4-1
HT 4-0
Cusco FC
PER
3-2
HT 2-0
Cusco FC
PERKB
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Cusco FC — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal squeezed past Cusco FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Sporting Cristal had 54% of the ball to Cusco FC's 46%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.48 to 0.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Cristal's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.67 for Cusco FC.
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC?
Sporting Cristal 1-0 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Cusco FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 57%, draw 21%, Cusco FC 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.