ADT 1-1 Binacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.3pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Binacional EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +1%
1.48/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.97
-21% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
23.4 Crosses 11.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Binacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.57 xG 0.70
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
120 Passes 362
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2023 Binacional Binacional 1-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
31.07.2022 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 0-0 Binacional Binacional PER
08.03.2022 Binacional Binacional 0-1 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
1-1
AWAY Binacional
3.08 xG 0.99
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
439 Passes 139
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
43 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ADT vs Binacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT and Binacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ADT at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, ADT had 71% of the ball to Binacional's 29%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 3.08 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ADT and 0.33 for Binacional.

What was the final score of ADT vs Binacional?

ADT 1-1 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Binacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ADT 58%, draw 21%, Binacional 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADT), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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