Radnik Surdulica 2-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.17/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.25
-39% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
20.1 Crosses 21.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.74 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
219 Passes 234
63% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2024 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
20.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
26.09.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
05.11.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
23.07.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
06.12.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2-3
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.80 xG 2.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
160 Passes 329
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac squeezed past Radnik Surdulica 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 37% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 63%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.80 to 2.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 0.50 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Radnik Surdulica 2-3 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 34%, draw 26%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
13 Sep 2025
19:00 Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
20:30 OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar Analysis →
21:00 Vojvodina vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →