OFK Beograd 0-2 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.76/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.40
+39% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.9 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.40 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
282 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 2-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
09.12.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
03.08.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
31.08.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-2 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
0-2
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.95 xG 2.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 204
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar got the better of OFK Beograd 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Beograd at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 55% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 45%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.95 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for OFK Beograd and 1.40 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?

OFK Beograd 0-2 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 47%, draw 23%, Novi Pazar 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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