Foshan Nanshi 0-1 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
7%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 34% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.11/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.96
+42% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.9 Crosses 25.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.15 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 221
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 4-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
01.06.2024 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
04.05.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 1-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
22.10.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 2-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
09.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 6-2 HT 2-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuxi Wugou edged past Foshan Nanshi 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Wuxi Wugou made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.60 for Wuxi Wugou.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Wuxi Wugou?

Foshan Nanshi 0-1 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 38%, draw 29%, Wuxi Wugou 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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