Hunan Billows 2-2 Haimen Codion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hunan Billows EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.17/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.33
-5% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.0 Crosses 13.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hunan Billows
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Haimen Codion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 1.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
212 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion 1-1 HT 0-1 Hunan Billows Hunan Billows ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Hunan Billows vs Haimen Codion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hunan Billows and Haimen Codion couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hunan Billows at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hunan Billows vs Haimen Codion?

Hunan Billows 2-2 Haimen Codion in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hunan Billows vs Haimen Codion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hunan Billows win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hunan Billows 42%, draw 28%, Haimen Codion 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hunan Billows) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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