FK Karlskrona 3-5 Österlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.63
Over 2.5
68%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
34%
-1.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
66%
+1.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.8pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Österlen EU Bookmakers 31%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.32/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.46
+20% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Österlen
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
3 Corners 4
15.06.2024 Österlen Österlen 2-2 HT 0-2 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
27.08.2023 Österlen Österlen 0-5 HT 0-3 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
30.04.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-2 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
30.07.2022 Österlen Österlen 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
02.04.2022 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 2-1 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Österlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen beat FK Karlskrona 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FK Karlskrona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.40 for Österlen.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Österlen?

FK Karlskrona 3-5 Österlen in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Österlen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 45%, draw 21%, Österlen 34%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Karlskrona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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