Stenungsund 0-3 IK Gauthiod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
33%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.8pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
17%
+15.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.75/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.52
-24% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Gauthiod
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 3-2 HT 1-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
15.09.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 3-1 HT 1-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
18.05.2023 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
03.09.2022 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 3-1 HT 1-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
27.10.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-2 HT 1-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
06.10.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stenungsund
0-3
AWAY IK Gauthiod
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs IK Gauthiod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Gauthiod ran out comfortable winners over Stenungsund 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Stenungsund at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stenungsund had 54% of the ball to IK Gauthiod's 46%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenungsund had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stenungsund and 1.50 for IK Gauthiod.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs IK Gauthiod?

Stenungsund 0-3 IK Gauthiod in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs IK Gauthiod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 49%, draw 19%, IK Gauthiod 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stenungsund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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