IK Gauthiod 3-2 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.29/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.06
-24% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 3-1 HT 1-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
18.05.2023 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
03.09.2022 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 3-1 HT 1-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
27.10.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 1-2 HT 1-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
06.10.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Gauthiod nicked a narrow win over Stenungsund 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had IK Gauthiod as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stenungsund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for IK Gauthiod and 1.60 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs Stenungsund?

IK Gauthiod 3-2 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Gauthiod win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 43%, draw 24%, Stenungsund 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Gauthiod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Gauthiod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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