Husqvarna FF 2-1 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Husqvarna FF EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.87/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/2.10
+52% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Husqvarna FF
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-1 HT 0-1 Husqvarna FF Husqvarna FF İSÇ4
22.10.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Husqvarna FF Husqvarna FF İSÇ4
10.06.2023 Husqvarna FF Husqvarna FF 4-0 HT 2-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
15.10.2022 Husqvarna FF Husqvarna FF 4-1 HT 2-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
23.10.2021 Husqvarna FF Husqvarna FF 3-1 HT 3-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
13.06.2021 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-1 HT 0-0 Husqvarna FF Husqvarna FF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Husqvarna FF
2-1
AWAY Varbergs GIF
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Husqvarna FF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Husqvarna FF squeezed past Varbergs GIF 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Husqvarna FF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Husqvarna FF had 55% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 45%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Husqvarna FF had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Husqvarna FF and 1.17 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Husqvarna FF vs Varbergs GIF?

Husqvarna FF 2-1 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Husqvarna FF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Husqvarna FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Husqvarna FF 42%, draw 26%, Varbergs GIF 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Husqvarna FF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Husqvarna FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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