Bergantinos 1-1 CD Laredo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
61%
1.45
Over
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No Pick
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
36%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.3pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Laredo EU Bookmakers 23%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.87/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.12
-38% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Laredo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2023 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Laredo CD Laredo İS4
09.10.2022 CD Laredo CD Laredo 2-2 HT 1-1 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs CD Laredo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos and CD Laredo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CD Laredo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bergantinos and 1.50 for CD Laredo.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs CD Laredo?

Bergantinos 1-1 CD Laredo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs CD Laredo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 44%, draw 29%, CD Laredo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bergantinos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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