Illescas 1-0 Getafe II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe II EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.92/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.00
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illescas
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Getafe II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Illescas 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe II Getafe II İS4
22.10.2023 Getafe II Getafe II 0-1 HT 0-1 Illescas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
1-0
AWAY Getafe II
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Getafe II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illescas edged past Getafe II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Illescas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Illescas had 47% of the ball to Getafe II's 53%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Illescas had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Illescas and 0.00 for Getafe II.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Getafe II?

Illescas 1-0 Getafe II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Getafe II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Illescas 36%, draw 27%, Getafe II 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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