Linares Deportivo 2-0 Don Benito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.6
Over
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Linares Deportivo win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Don Benito EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.33
+29% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs Don Benito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linares Deportivo beat Don Benito 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linares Deportivo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs Don Benito?

Linares Deportivo 2-0 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs Don Benito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 52%, draw 23%, Don Benito 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linares Deportivo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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