Numancia 1-1 Langreo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.64
Over
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No Pick
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-16.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
13%
+15.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Langreo EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.75/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.06
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Langreo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2021 Langreo Langreo 1-1 HT 0-1 Numancia Numancia İS3
12.12.2020 Numancia Numancia 1-0 HT 1-0 Langreo Langreo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-1
AWAY Langreo
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Langreo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia and Langreo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Numancia had 57% of the ball to Langreo's 43%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Numancia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Numancia and 0.50 for Langreo.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Langreo?

Numancia 1-1 Langreo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Langreo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Numancia 47%, draw 25%, Langreo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Numancia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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