Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 26%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +65% / +65%
2.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+61% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Majadahonda
1-2
AWAY Colonia Moscardo
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colonia Moscardo nicked a narrow win over Rayo Majadahonda 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rayo Majadahonda at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rayo Majadahonda had 51% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 49%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo?

Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Majadahonda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rayo Majadahonda 46%, draw 28%, Colonia Moscardo 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Majadahonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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