Sant Andreu 2-1 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.51
Over
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.16/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.99/1.49
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sant Andreu
2-1
AWAY Sabadell
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu edged past Sabadell 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sant Andreu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sant Andreu had 47% of the ball to Sabadell's 53%, shots finished 4-13.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Sabadell?

Sant Andreu 2-1 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 36%, draw 29%, Sabadell 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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