Union Sur Yaiza 1-0 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.45
Over
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.4pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza edged past Atlético Paso 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Sur Yaiza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Atlético Paso?

Union Sur Yaiza 1-0 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 44%, draw 27%, Atlético Paso 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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