Villanovense 0-0 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.45
Over
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
36%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villanovense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
0.73/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.19
-32% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villanovense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2022 Villanovense Villanovense 2-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
19.09.2021 Xerez Deportivo 2-0 HT 1-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS4
POST-MATCH Villanovense vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villanovense and Xerez Deportivo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villanovense and 1.00 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of Villanovense vs Xerez Deportivo?

Villanovense 0-0 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villanovense vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Villanovense 32%, draw 33%, Xerez Deportivo 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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