Xerez 1-1 Cadiz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.67
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.51
No
48%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
44%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
67%
-17.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
36%
+16.6pp
48%
BTTS No
64%
-16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz II EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-1
AWAY Cadiz II
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Cadiz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez and Cadiz II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Xerez had 60% of the ball to Cadiz II's 40%, shots finished 24-7.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Cadiz II?

Xerez 1-1 Cadiz II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Cadiz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Xerez 49%, draw 29%, Cadiz II 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Xerez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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