Isidro Metapan 2-1 FAS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FAS EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +22%
1.33/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.28
-2% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FAS
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 FAS FAS 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-2 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
14.01.2024 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
27.11.2023 FAS FAS 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-1 HT 1-1 FAS FAS ELSAL
07.05.2023 FAS FAS 0-3 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs FAS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan edged past FAS 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Isidro Metapan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.83 for FAS.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs FAS?

Isidro Metapan 2-1 FAS in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs FAS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 40%, draw 30%, FAS 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →