Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Zweigen Kanazawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.55/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.52
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses 15.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 6-1 HT 4-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
19.09.2021 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
15.05.2021 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa JAP2
30.09.2020 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa JAP2
27.06.2020 Zweigen Kanazawa Zweigen Kanazawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1-1
AWAY Zweigen Kanazawa
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Zweigen Kanazawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga and Zweigen Kanazawa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 54% of the ball to Zweigen Kanazawa's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zweigen Kanazawa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.60 for Zweigen Kanazawa.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 Zweigen Kanazawa in the Japan - J3 League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Zweigen Kanazawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 45%, draw 22%, Zweigen Kanazawa 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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