Omiya Ardija 3-2 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
2.42/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.27
+45% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.4 Crosses 11.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fukushima United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-2 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
3-2
AWAY Fukushima United
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija squeezed past Fukushima United 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 50% of the ball to Fukushima United's 50%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Fukushima United?

Omiya Ardija 3-2 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 47%, draw 23%, Fukushima United 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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